UC Santa Barbara
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
239  Adam Avila SR 32:20
409  George Baier SR 32:45
818  Austin Lay FR 33:29
889  Jackson Bright JR 33:34
965  Carlos Guijarro SO 33:41
1,176  Andrew Verdin SR 33:58
1,463  Daniel Mountcastle FR 34:22
1,545  James Douglass FR 34:29
1,906  Vincent Paradise FR 35:00
National Rank #83 of 312
West Region Rank #14 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Adam Avila George Baier Austin Lay Jackson Bright Carlos Guijarro Andrew Verdin Daniel Mountcastle James Douglass Vincent Paradise
UC Riverside Invitational 09/17 1070 33:10 32:28 33:30 34:21 34:31 35:33
Stanford Invitational 10/01 993 32:10 32:31 33:17 34:19 34:01 33:54 33:52 34:23 35:13
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/15 1051 32:23 32:51 33:26 33:44 34:14 33:47 34:37 34:17 34:43
Big West Championship 10/29 955 32:09 32:54 33:14 33:07 32:47 34:32 34:05
West Region Championships 11/11 998 31:41 33:29 34:29 33:27 33:55 33:24 34:33





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 13.6 442 0.2 6.7 20.6 26.8 24.2 10.6 5.6 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adam Avila 2.0% 146.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adam Avila 46.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8
George Baier 65.5
Austin Lay 100.3
Jackson Bright 104.9
Carlos Guijarro 113.3
Andrew Verdin 134.5
Daniel Mountcastle 162.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 6.7% 6.7 11
12 20.6% 20.6 12
13 26.8% 26.8 13
14 24.2% 24.2 14
15 10.6% 10.6 15
16 5.6% 5.6 16
17 2.6% 2.6 17
18 1.7% 1.7 18
19 0.8% 0.8 19
20 0.5% 0.5 20
21 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0